Cuadernos de Economía

ISSN : 0210-0266
Untitled-43

Personal drivers behind the Brexit vote

  • Natalia Melgar , Ph.D. in Economics, Professor at the Catholic University of Uruguay, Institute of International Businesses. Address: Av. 8 de Octubre 2738, 11600. Phone: (598) 2487 2717, ext. 6267
  • Ignacio Bartesaghi , Ph.D. in International Relations, Director of the Institute of International Businesses, Catholic University of Uruguay
  • Natalia De María , Master’s in International Relations, Professor at the Catholic University of Uruguay, Institute of International Businesses

Keywords:

United Kingdom; Brexit; European Union; Euroscepticism; Globalization ,

Abstract

The aim of this article is threefold. Firstly, by using the survey carried out in 2013 by the International Social Survey Program (ISSP), we compare the voting intentions of the British prior to Brexit with the 2016 referendum results, and we show that these results were not a surprise. Secondly, we provide clear evidence for the correlation between the Brexit´s results and protectionist preferences and opinions towards immigrants. Finally, we estimate probit and logit models that shed light on the impact of sociodemographic attributes on these preferences which are in line with the 2016 referendum results.